CEDLES: a framework for plugin-based applications for earthquake risk prediction and loss assessment     

Long  Li  Zheng  Shansuo  Zhang  Yixin  Sun  Longfei  Zhou  Yan  Dong  Liguo 《Natural Hazards》2020,103(1):531-556

Natural Hazards - To evaluate the seismic risk and loss caused by an earthquake, many earthquake disaster loss assessment softwares have been developed. However, it is difficult to apply one...  相似文献   

The uncertainty importance measure of slope stability based on the moment-independent method     

Xu  Zhaoxia  Zhou  Xiaoping  Qian  Qihu 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2020,34(1):51-65

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment - It is well known that there are many uncertainties in slope engineering, which have great impacts on slope stability models. However, the...  相似文献   

轨道尺度亚洲气候演化机理的数值模拟:历史与展望     

石正国  雷婧  周朋  任鑫 《第四纪研究》2020,(1):8-17

轨道尺度亚洲气候演化是古气候热点问题之一,其变化过程和机理对理解当前全球变暖下亚洲气候变化具有重要参考意义。最近几十年,基于黄土、石笋、湖泊等载体的轨道尺度亚洲气候重建研究获得显著进展,气候演化历史的基本框架已被构建,不同区域和指标记录之间的差异暗示了气候演化机理的复杂性。数值模拟作为研究气候动力学的重要工具之一,在轨道尺度亚洲气候变化中也得到广泛应用和快速发展。基于此,本文尝试对最近十数年轨道尺度亚洲气候演化机理的数值模拟研究做一简单总结和梳理。目前的数值模拟尚未对地质记录给出的各种变化特征、区域差异等现象,尤其是东亚夏季风的黄土和石笋差异、季风和干旱气候的耦合关系等,给出合理解释。因此,在未来工作中亟须涵盖多轨道旋回的高分辨率瞬变试验,结合良好定年的重建记录,以期对轨道尺度亚洲气候变化机理获得更深入完整的认识。  相似文献   

2018年2月12日河北永清4.3级地震强震动记录分析     

郭秋娜  温超  周月玲  李姜 《震灾防御技术》2020,15(2):329-338

2018年2月12日河北省廊坊市永清县发生4.3级地震，震中位于廊固凹陷内的河西务断裂附近，国家强震动台网中心获取74组强震动记录，本文对触发台站进行场地分类，结果显示大部分为Ⅰ类场地(51.35%)，其次为Ⅱ类场地(35.14%)和Ⅲ类场地(13.51%)。根据5个典型台站加速度时程记录及反应谱分析本次地震强震动特征，并对各台站峰值加速度反应谱与方位角和震中距的关系进行分析。采用克里格插值方法绘制地震仪器烈度分布图，由于台站分布不均，导致极震区附近烈度影响场计算缺值现象，本文通过拟合本次地震强震动记录得到该地区地震动衰减关系，在空白区域建立空间随机假设台站进行补点插值，解决了计算缺值问题，为缺少台站记录的震区提供准确快速制作烈度分布图的思路，为震害调查和地震应急救援提供重要依据。  相似文献   

Relative energy zero ratio-based approach for identifying pulse-like ground motions     

Liu  Ping  Li  Ning  Ma  Hua  Xie  Lili  Zhou  Baofeng 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2020,19(1):1-16

Pulse-like ground motions are capable of inflicting significant damage to structures. Efficient classification of pulse-like ground motion is of great importance when performing the seismic assessment in near-fault regions. In this study, a new method for identifying the velocity pulses is proposed, based on different trends of two parameters: the short-time energy and the short-time zero crossing rate of a ground motion record. A new pulse indicator, the relative energy zero ratio(REZR), is defined to qualitatively identify pulse-like features. The threshold for pulse-like ground motions is derived and compared with two other identification methods through statistical analysis. The proposed procedure not only shows good accuracy and efficiency when identifying pulse-like ground motions but also exhibits good performance for classifying records with high-frequency noise and discontinuous pulses. The REZR method does not require a waveform formula to express and fit the potential velocity pulses; it is a purely signal-based classification method. Finally, the proposed procedure is used to evaluate the contribution of pulse-like motions to the total input energy of a seismic record, which dramatically increases the seismic damage potential.  相似文献   

涉县盆地控盆构造晚第四纪活动特征     

蒋云锋  周月玲  郭秋娜  张征宇 《中国地震》2020,36(3):460-468

涉县断裂为太行山隆起区内涉县盆地的控盆构造,走向由NE转为近EW向,倾向NW/N,中部在井店东被EW向断裂错断,是控制涉县盆地的一组断裂。本文采用地质地貌调查、河流阶地分析和地质测年等方法,研究了涉县断裂晚第四纪活动特征。研究发现,涉县断裂带由多组断裂构成,带宽约200m,在清漳河两侧表现为山前的陡崖地貌、基岩破碎变形带,具有正断兼走滑特征,在基岩变形带上部发育走向NNE向和NWW向次级滑动面,次级滑动面错断第四系黄土,最新活动到晚更新世;断裂在盆地区通过,地表形成低缓陡坎,断裂错断Q2-3地层,表现为上陡下缓的正断层。通过对涉县断裂两侧清漳河河流阶地、夷平面和地层年龄综合分析,估算涉县断裂晚更新世以来平均垂直滑动速率为0.06～0.08mm/a,中更新世以来平均垂直滑动速率为0.22～0.34mm/a,垂直差异活动主要发生于中更新世期间。  相似文献   

Stratosphere amplifies the global climate effect of wildfires     

Wei  Ke  Chen  Wen  Xu  Luyang  Zhou  Chunjiang 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2020,63(2):309-311

The summer of 2019 witnessed a great number of wildfires around the globe.For example,wildfires scorched huge swaths of Alaska,British Columbia in Canada,and parts of Greenland.And forest fires in Siberia and the Far East of Russia were also very serious,affecting nearly 3 million hectares of land,and putting some parts of Russia into a state of emergency.In particular,forest fires in the Amazon region had attracted global attention.According to Science,as of August 24,BraziPs National Institute for Space Research had counted more than 41000 fires this year,86%more than last year,compared with 22000 in the same period last year.Scientists in Brazil and elsewhere believe that the recent increase of wildfires is closely related to the increasing ac・tivities of deforestation(Arruda et al.,2019;Escobar,2019).  相似文献   

基于LSH方法的珊瑚礁鱼类竞争压力查询和资源分配方法     

赵丹枫  黄洲  许强  黄冬梅 《热带海洋学报》2020,39(2):118-126

基于海洋大数据查询技术的珊瑚礁鱼类保护策略是海洋科学研究的重要课题, 其中鱼群竞争状况对鱼类保护具有重要意义。研究鱼群竞争状况就必须模型化鱼群与珊瑚礁的依赖关系。作为一个简单有效的大数据模型, 图模型是表达这个关系的实用模型。文章提出表达珊瑚礁鱼类种群和珊瑚礁资源依赖关系的竞争图建模方法, 并提出基于局部敏感哈希(Local Sensitive Hashing, LSH)的鱼类种群竞争压力竞争图查询方法, 得到鱼类种群的实时竞争压力状况; 然后根据LSH查询结果, 分析出需要优先保护的鱼类种群; 最后对这些需要优先保护的鱼类种群设计了基于构建人工礁的资源分配方法, 使得区域内珊瑚礁鱼类总体竞争状况改善。  相似文献   

Effect of nano-MgO on mechanical performance of cement stabilized silty clay     

Kai Yao  Dongliang An  Na Li  Chen Zhang  Aizhao Zhou 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2020,38(2):250-255

Abstract

A series of direct shear tests were performed on cement-admixed silty clay to investigate the effect of cement content and nano-magnesia (MgO) on its shear strength properties. For each normal stress, shear strength increased with cement content. However, an obvious increment in shear strength was achieved when the cement content was adjusted from 13% to 17%. Both cohesion and friction angle of cemented soil increased with cement content, and exponential function was adopted to correlate both the factors with cement content. For cement content of 10% investigated in this study, the optimum nano-MgO content was 10‰, wherein the cohesion could reach the peak value. The microstructure of the mixture revealed that the structure of the mixture was compacted for the optimum nano-MgO content. However, micro-cracks were formed when the amount of nano-MgO exceeded its optimum content.  相似文献   

舟山北部海域海底第四系淡水资源赋存潜力   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

张志忠  邹亮  周良勇 《海洋学报》2018,40(3):50-61

为了解东海舟山北部海域海底第四系淡水资源赋存情况，本文在系统分析舟山北部海域地质钻孔和单道地震资料基础上，分析了研究海域海底第四纪地层结构与沉积环境，阐述了研究海域海底松散沉积物分布规律，探讨了上海陆地地区早更新世中、晚期和早期古河道在研究海域的延伸和分布状况，分析了研究海域海底第四系含水层赋存状况。研究海域第四系可供开发利用的主要含水层为早更新世中、晚期的第四承压含水层（Ⅳ）和早更新世早期的第五承压含水层（Ⅴ）；第四承压含水层古河道分布区富水性最佳，含水层顶部发育厚层黏性土隔水层区域赋存淡水资源的可能性很大，含水层开发利用潜力可分为开发前景良好A区、开发前景较好B区和开发前景一般C区3类；第五承压含水层在古河道分布区富水性强，具有很好的淡水赋存潜力和良好的开发利用前景。  相似文献